Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 55.772425 63.714315 71.873950 80.849076 90.410511 100.261033 111.145714
2026-01-04 44.547652 55.959593 68.254141 82.339774 97.897004 114.434615 133.227688
2026-01-11 36.773842 49.893515 64.562288 81.878566 101.490624 122.777404 147.404395
2026-01-18 30.826137 45.037611 61.485616 81.422694 104.489189 129.956302 159.842719
2026-01-25 26.575288 41.623809 59.597878 81.891991 108.150854 137.549045 172.443195
2026-02-01 22.509911 37.964356 57.033464 81.229711 110.220365 143.101007 182.536423
2026-02-08 19.347918 35.105676 55.164376 81.152745 112.767820 149.032048 192.913515
2026-02-15 16.290759 32.045146 52.779842 80.224919 114.121643 153.433256 201.409189
2026-02-22 14.438470 30.456176 52.135400 81.329358 117.816959 160.493241 212.913280
2026-03-01 12.937900 29.209943 51.823879 82.759524 121.836310 167.882555 224.760829
2026-03-08 10.819108 26.779387 49.742375 81.784665 122.791124 171.548799 232.182859
2026-03-15 8.763600 24.172336 47.227786 80.095265 122.738452 173.915898 237.996537
2026-03-22 8.287241 24.173594 48.413733 83.328468 128.921893 183.877388 252.906292
2026-03-29 7.441017 23.427083 48.462343 85.006433 133.122154 191.435084 264.971312
2026-04-05 6.164559 21.709549 46.965748 84.507550 134.482685 195.485575 272.811827
2026-04-12 5.060875 20.128821 45.560350 84.048996 135.832341 199.477233 280.546797
2026-04-19 4.281577 19.064405 44.869950 84.525601 138.352651 204.882457 289.963524
2026-04-26 3.397779 17.580575 43.414076 83.851804 139.317045 208.323257 296.977431
2026-05-03 2.731833 16.435208 42.418612 83.773444 141.022126 212.655744 305.051211
2026-05-10 2.045941 15.022069 40.873772 82.829160 141.526172 215.448774 311.221879
2026-05-17 1.711237 14.478580 40.763362 83.953186 144.776145 221.681982 321.591621
2026-05-24 1.452962 14.088452 40.889194 85.408540 148.462157 228.461913 332.632970
2026-05-31 1.002544 12.845657 39.413279 84.416533 148.799466 230.975583 338.413330